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US credit crisis is hitting the wealthy
Tuesday, July 29, 2008 | eMail ArticleeMail Article | Follow ProphecyResCorp on Twitter Follow Goldmau On Twitter
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The US financial crisis is spreading from subprime borrowers to wealthier consumers, with evidence mounting that more affluent people are failing to pay their mortgages and credit card balances.

Growing concerns over the financial health of richer borrowers are prompting banks and card issuers to tighten lending practices in moves that could further dampen consumer confidence and spending more.

Banks such as JPMorgan Chase and credit card groups such as American Express have clamped down on lending to customers that have traditionally been regarded among the safest and most profitable borrowers.

"The crisis is just starting to spread beyond the middle class," said Curtis Arnold, founder of CardRatings.com. "Even folks with good credit-ratings scores are no longer immune from adverse actions from their card issuers."

Senior bankers say that after the subprime debacle, the worsening outlook of "prime" portfolios shows the crisis is far from over and could inflict substantial losses on financial institutions.

Continued at FT.com



Financial Times
www.FT.com

Goldmau.com comment:

America has to wake up. The news regarding Merrill Lynch and re covered bonds, as well as the US-style rescue plans in Canada and the UK, are pushing gold higher and we may not see $800 gold again. Gold and silver will most definitely continue to be a safe haven in my opinion. I have been anticipating one final move by central bankers and finance ministers to depress precious metals, and the timing of that will likely come about the same time that oil prices gain maximum downside momentum. After that, it's onwards and upwards.

As to gold specifically, the 200d MA for $GOLD is about $885; which will be thoroughly tested, as it was the week ending June 15, with a cycle bottom possibly in the $850-$860 level before the price of gold soars again. The support found during the lows of Sept-Oct 2006 and July-Aug 2007 will likely be found again this year (June through October) as traders move capital out of mortgage-backed assets (REITs). Future highs, within maybe two or three years, will likely be in the $1500, $2000 or $2500 range.

To deny the world is in a financial crisis is to close one's eyes to the plummeting share prices of Financial stocks in the past year, and particularly in the past three months. In every financial crisis, traders turn to T-bills (observed by extremely low yields) and to precious metals. This crisis is, and will continue to be, no different.

Commentary courtesy David Cai, Goldmau.com analyst.

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